Experienced Analyst Calculates How Much Time Is Left Before Bitcoin’s “Bear Pause” Ends

Crypto analyst Joao Wedson has shared a date estimate for a potential Bitcoin bottom in his latest commentary.

Evaluating Bitcoin’s current price level through the lens of historical data, Wedson noted that the market may still be in a cyclical adjustment phase.

According to Wedson, throughout Bitcoin’s history there have been approximately 340 days during which Bitcoin traded at prices higher than today’s level. This metric does not measure price momentum, but rather serves as a historical dominance indicator, showing how strong the current price is relative to Bitcoin’s own past.

The analyst explained that in previous cycles, major bear market bottoms typically formed when this figure approached the 700–800 day range. Such periods indicate that the current price can no longer surpass a large portion of Bitcoin’s historical price record. Wedson emphasized that the present situation remains well below this threshold.

In his view, this suggests that Bitcoin’s cyclical correction process may not yet be complete. If historical patterns repeat, he said, the possibility of Bitcoin retesting levels below its 2021 peak of around $69,000 should not be dismissed.

Wedson concluded his assessment by saying:

“This is entirely about the logic of market cycles. Maybe it’s just a matter of time.”

This is not investment advice.