Bitcoin forecast: “BTC will be worth 400,000 US dollars in 2030”
According to the Bitcoin analyst On-Chain Mind, BTC is significantly undervalued. In the long term, the cryptocurrency could rise above 400,000 US dollars.
Bitcoin has been trading below the widely observed 200-day moving average since the most recent pullback. For many market participants, this level is considered a psychological dividing line between a bull and a bear market. However, analyst On-Chain Mind strongly criticizes this fixation on short-term price movements in a video on YouTube. “Most people focus on short-term price action,” he says right at the beginning. Those who react exclusively to short-term weakness lose sight of the broader structure.
A look at the entire price history puts current pullbacks into perspective. “What currently feels like a major pullback is nothing more than a small dent in a much larger long-term growth trend,” the analyst explains. This assessment is based on a power-law model that does not describe Bitcoin as a random speculative asset, but rather as a system with mathematically explainable growth. Extreme price movements are therefore not anomalies, but a core feature.
The current valuation is particularly striking. “According to the base power-law model that I am using here today, the fair value is around 112,000 US dollars.” Even a conservative scenario places the fair value only slightly below this level. Historically, however, Bitcoin has often traded well above this growth line. From this, the analyst derives a structural undervaluation.
The long-term outlook is correspondingly bold. For the year 2030, the model sees a fair value in the range of 400,000 US dollars, and by the mid-2030s even beyond one million. “What seems like normal prices today will appear absurdly cheap in about ten years.” The key factor is the time horizon. “Most investors massively overestimate what can happen in the next few months, and massively underestimate what can happen over the next five to ten years.”
If you want to take advantage of the current price pullback, you can invest safely and reliably in cryptocurrencies on Coinbase. You currently receive 30 euros in Bitcoin there when you trade cryptocurrencies worth 30 euros or more.